Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.996 | $1.07 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?No| buy |
| 2.2 |
| $0.998 |
| $2.2 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 4?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.994 | $2.21 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 4?Yes | buy | 3.31 | $0.997 | $3.3 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.880 | $1.03 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.850 | $1.04 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.997 | $5.21 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.910 | $1.03 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No | buy | 6.31 | $0.998 | $6.3 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C or higher on July 5?No | sell | 6.43 | $0.996 | $6.4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C or higher on July 5?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.999 | $7.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 18?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.950 | $1.05 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?No | sell | 9.5 | $0.998 | $9.48 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.920 | $1.03 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?No | buy | 10.61 | $0.999 | $10.6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs LEO (BO3) - United21 Group BFaZe Up Next | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.998 | $2.62 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?No | sell | 6 | $0.998 | $5.99 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.999 | $3.7 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | sell | 7 | $0.995 | $6.97 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Washington Nationals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksWashington Nationals | buy | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?No | sell | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | sell | 6.23 | $0.998 | $6.22 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 7.31 | $0.999 | $7.3 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.964 | $1.03 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 5?No | sell | 8.36 | $0.998 | $8.34 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 5?No | buy | 9.5 | $0.999 | $9.49 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.989 | $1.04 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.47 | $0.998 | $6.46 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.59 | $0.999 | $7.58 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | sell | 2.35 | $0.993 | $2.33 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | buy | 3.48 | $0.994 | $3.46 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 3.46 | $0.998 | $3.45 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 4.53 | $0.999 | $4.53 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Jonathan Young be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.997 | $5.53 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?No | buy | 6.61 | $0.998 | $6.6 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on March 23?No | sell | 6.62 | $0.997 | $6.6 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on March 23?No | buy | 7.67 | $0.998 | $7.65 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?No | sell | 3 | $0.998 | $2.99 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will ESPN Tournament Challenge be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?No | sell | 4.68 | $0.994 | $4.65 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will ESPN Tournament Challenge be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.998 | $5.8 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 9.83 | $0.997 | $9.8 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 10.89 | $0.999 | $10.88 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Caseys General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.930 | $1.04 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?No | sell | 5.45 | $0.998 | $5.44 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?No | buy | 6.53 | $0.999 | $6.52 | Mar 7, 2026 |