Latest trade
Jul 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 2:38 AM UTC.
Analytics
Murphym has made $0.3 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 2:38 AM UTC.
$5.33 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 31 markets; 60.0% were buys. They run from Mar 7, 2026 UTC to Jul 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.996 | $1.07 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-26 10:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 02:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 02:38 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-26 10:31 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $15.06 and losing ones cost $5.63 across the latest 50 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.99 on “Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?” (No); the largest loss, $0.65 on “Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Jul 2026. It has traded 87 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 2.2 |
| $0.998 |
| $2.2 |
| Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 4?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.994 | $2.21 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 4?Yes | buy | 3.31 | $0.997 | $3.3 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.880 | $1.03 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.850 | $1.04 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.997 | $5.21 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.910 | $1.03 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No | buy | 6.31 | $0.998 | $6.3 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C or higher on July 5?No | sell | 6.43 | $0.996 | $6.4 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C or higher on July 5?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.999 | $7.5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 18?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.950 | $1.05 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?No | sell | 9.5 | $0.998 | $9.48 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.920 | $1.03 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?No | buy | 10.61 | $0.999 | $10.6 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs LEO (BO3) - United21 Group BFaZe Up Next | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.998 | $2.62 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?No | sell | 6 | $0.998 | $5.99 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.999 | $3.7 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | sell | 7 | $0.995 | $6.97 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
 Washington Nationals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksWashington Nationals | buy | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?No | sell | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | sell | 6.23 | $0.998 | $6.22 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 7.31 | $0.999 | $7.3 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.964 | $1.03 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 5?No | sell | 8.36 | $0.998 | $8.34 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 5?No | buy | 9.5 | $0.999 | $9.49 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.989 | $1.04 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.47 | $0.998 | $6.46 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.59 | $0.999 | $7.58 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | sell | 2.35 | $0.993 | $2.33 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | buy | 3.48 | $0.994 | $3.46 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 3.46 | $0.998 | $3.45 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 4.53 | $0.999 | $4.53 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jonathan Young be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.997 | $5.53 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?No | buy | 6.61 | $0.998 | $6.6 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on March 23?No | sell | 6.62 | $0.997 | $6.6 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on March 23?No | buy | 7.67 | $0.998 | $7.65 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?No | sell | 3 | $0.998 | $2.99 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will ESPN Tournament Challenge be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?No | sell | 4.68 | $0.994 | $4.65 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will ESPN Tournament Challenge be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.998 | $5.8 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 9.83 | $0.997 | $9.8 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 10.89 | $0.999 | $10.88 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Caseys General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.930 | $1.04 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?No | sell | 5.45 | $0.998 | $5.44 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?No | buy | 6.53 | $0.999 | $6.52 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.