Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 45% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 31 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 45% on 27 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 79% on 28 Jun 2026. $25.98K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 4:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 31 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 45.0% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 99.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.68K |
| mrdonaldo | No | 731.7 |
| Somber-Ice | No | 577.38 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 294.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-july-20260626204312502
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 293 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| ChiliSalt | No | 100 |
| Raketa09 | No | 65 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | No | 60 |
| RustyScissors | No | 57.14 |
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