Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Jul 16, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$63.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 16, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 16 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.9%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 86 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 16 Jul 2026, the highest close was 96.9% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 11% on 23 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 65% on 26 Apr 2026. $63.28K traded over the market's life.

54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 3:19 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 86 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 16 Jul 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Apr 2026	16.5%
16 Jul 2026	95.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	22.03K
Jade Pioneer C177	No	3.63K
Crypto-Well	No	1.69K

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.