Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.183 | $8.24 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 77 |
| $0.250 |
| $19.25 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.250 | $19.25 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.500 | $18.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.047 | $0.05 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.046 | $0.69 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 32 | $0.959 | $30.69 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 69 | $0.490 | $33.81 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.530 | $32.86 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.012 | $0.79 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.013 | $0.56 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 71 | $0.510 | $36.21 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 42 | $0.813 | $34.15 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.810 | $34.02 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.840 | $32.76 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.840 | $32.76 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 39 | $0.830 | $32.37 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | sell | 9 | $0.848 | $7.63 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.950 | $11.4 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.985 | $10.83 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 11 | $0.982 | $10.8 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 11 | $0.983 | $10.81 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?No | buy | 11 | $0.984 | $10.82 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Oracle buy TikTok?No | sell | 11 | $0.974 | $10.71 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | sell | 11 | $0.993 | $10.92 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | buy | 11 | $0.992 | $10.91 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | buy | 9 | $0.899 | $8.09 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 13 | $0.976 | $12.69 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 13 | $0.962 | $12.51 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 14 | $0.990 | $13.86 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.044 | $0.66 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?No | sell | 8 | $0.969 | $7.75 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.069 | $0.76 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?No | buy | 8 | $0.983 | $7.86 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | sell | 10 | $0.806 | $8.06 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 10 | $0.804 | $8.04 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | sell | 8 | $0.951 | $7.61 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.046 | $3.59 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.064 | $2.24 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.019 | $0.49 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?No | buy | 12 | $0.974 | $11.69 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.034 | $0.44 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.026 | $1.69 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.050 | $4.5 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will the Gujarat Titans win the 2025 Indian Premier League?No | sell | 23 | $0.937 | $21.55 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Jalen Brunson Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No | sell | 21 | $0.982 | $20.62 | May 29, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.986 | $19.72 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 21 | $0.968 | $20.33 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | sell | 21 | $0.988 | $20.75 | May 25, 2025 |