Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | No | 119.48 | $0.837 | $114.76 | +$14.76 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 119.48 | $0.837 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 155.03 |
| $0.645 |
| $97.67 |
| -$2.33 |
| buy |
| 155.03 |
| $0.645 |
| $100 |
| Feb 9, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.95K | $0.043 | $683.3 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.77K | $0.030 | $141.26 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.18K | $0.027 | $300 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 483.87 | $0.032 | $15.48 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?Yes | sell | 1.22K | $0.001 | $1.22 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?Yes | sell | 1.22K | $0.001 | $1.22 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?Yes | sell | 238.09 | $0.031 | $7.38 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.040 | $5.71 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.033 | $40 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.090 | $110 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 483.87 | $0.620 | $300 | May 24, 2025 |
 Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.042 | $10 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | May 21, 2025 |
 Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.01 | $0.602 | $100 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 990.24 | $0.500 | $495.12 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 59.8 | $0.500 | $29.9 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes | buy | 108.9 | $0.184 | $20 | May 15, 2025 |