Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 998 | $0.120 | $43.91 | -$75.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?No | buy | 529 | $0.880 | $465.52 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 31 |
| $0.930 |
| $30.72 |
| +$1.89 |
 Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 22 | $0.989 | $21.77 | +$0.01 |
 Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? | Yes | 197 | $0.210 | $13.79 | -$27.58 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.55 | $0.700 | $0.18 | -$0.21 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1.33 | $0.290 | $0.09 | -$0.3 |
| sell |
| 283 |
| $0.770 |
| $217.91 |
| Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?No | sell | 350 | $0.770 | $269.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?No | sell | 125.18 | $0.780 | $97.64 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?No | buy | 759 | $0.780 | $592.02 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?No | buy | 500 | $0.520 | $260 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will GERB-SDS win between 60-64 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 444 | $0.730 | $324.12 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will GERB-SDS win between 60-64 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 444 | $0.760 | $337.44 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?No | sell | 363 | $0.810 | $294.03 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?No | sell | 52 | $0.830 | $43.16 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?No | buy | 415 | $0.860 | $356.9 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 547 | $0.630 | $344.61 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 567 | $0.700 | $396.9 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?No | sell | 644 | $0.930 | $598.92 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?No | sell | 15 | $0.920 | $13.8 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?No | sell | 14 | $0.900 | $12.6 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 924 | $0.150 | $138.6 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?No | buy | 673 | $0.740 | $498.02 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | buy | 924 | $0.530 | $489.72 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 271 | $0.800 | $216.8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.790 | $5.53 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 289 | $0.790 | $228.31 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 318 | $0.790 | $251.22 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 116 | $0.510 | $59.16 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 885 | $0.800 | $708 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?No | sell | 202 | $0.610 | $123.22 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?No | sell | 348 | $0.590 | $205.32 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 116 | $0.580 | $67.28 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 7 | $0.978 | $6.85 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?No | buy | 550 | $0.580 | $319 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | sell | 346 | $0.440 | $152.24 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | buy | 346 | $0.460 | $159.16 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?No | sell | 231 | $0.520 | $120.12 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?No | buy | 231 | $0.540 | $124.74 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No | sell | 50 | $0.014 | $0.7 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.016 | $0.24 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 410 | $0.017 | $6.97 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.029 | $1.62 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?No | sell | 221 | $0.760 | $167.96 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?No | sell | 29 | $0.985 | $28.57 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?No | buy | 221 | $0.780 | $172.38 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?No | buy | 29 | $0.986 | $28.59 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?No | buy | 479 | $0.998 | $478.04 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Canada recession before 2027?No | sell | 119 | $0.580 | $69.02 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Canada recession before 2027?No | sell | 255 | $0.580 | $147.9 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Canada recession before 2027?No | buy | 374 | $0.590 | $220.66 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?No | sell | 750 | $0.281 | $210.75 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 31 | $0.932 | $28.89 | Feb 16, 2026 |