
Resolved Yes on 27 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 52%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 27 Feb 2026, the highest close was 52% on 27 Feb 2026 and the lowest 33% on 26 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 52% on 27 Feb 2026. $12.44K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 28, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 27 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 42.5% |
| 27 Feb 2026 | 52.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.31K |
| Specific-Dromedary | No | 1K |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 166 |
| bjprolo | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election is currently scheduled for February 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election in Greater Manchester. In the case of an exact tie in valid votes received, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the election results are not clear by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Any change in party affiliation will not affect the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Manchester City Council (https://www.manchester.gov.uk/elections).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gorton-and-denton-by-election-3rd-place
| t189 | No | 50 |
| Utter-Downgrade | No | 32 |
| PX5300 | No | 29.96 |
| vger7 | No | 20 |
| 656yertr | No | 10 |
| guanlan102 | No | 2 |
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