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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No | sell | 511 | $0.910 | $465.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 511 |
| $0.910 |
| $465.01 |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | buy | 489 | $0.952 | $465.53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No | sell | 384 | $0.910 | $349.44 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No | buy | 384 | $0.920 | $353.28 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?No | buy | 368 | $0.961 | $353.65 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | buy | 373 | $0.920 | $343.16 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No | buy | 385 | $0.906 | $348.81 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 13.17 | $0.960 | $12.64 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 341 | $0.958 | $326.68 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 347 | $0.940 | $326.18 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?No | buy | 346 | $0.940 | $325.24 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 362 | $0.900 | $325.8 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 362 | $0.900 | $325.8 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | sell | 341 | $0.958 | $326.79 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | buy | 341 | $0.933 | $318.15 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?No | sell | 340 | $0.935 | $317.9 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?No | buy | 340 | $0.927 | $315.18 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under | buy | 672 | $0.090 | $60.48 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 674.05 | $0.080 | $53.92 | Jun 12, 2026 |