Analytics
Sturdy-Thrush has made $1.18K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 34 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.927 | $146.25 | +$7.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 18:23 UTC
Polymarket public position response
14 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 23:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 23:25 UTC
polymarket positions
36 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 18:23 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.76K and losing ones cost $503.12 across 34 settled positions. 64.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $690.38 on “Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?” (No); the largest loss, $240.95 on “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes).
It has traded 49 markets. Its open positions are worth $896.73 across 14 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 150 |
| $0.910 |
| $138.75 |
| +$2.25 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: October | Nothing | 106.38 | $0.940 | $103.46 | +$3.46 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? | No | 102.35 | $0.977 | $101.33 | +$1.33 |
 Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026? | No | 102.18 | $0.979 | $99.06 | -$0.94 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $82 | +$71 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October? | No | 60.01 | $0.963 | $58.09 | +$0.29 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 51.33 | $0.974 | $49.79 | -$0.21 |
 Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.989 | $49.38 | -$0.06 |
 Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | No | 50 | $0.921 | $47.83 | +$1.79 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.865 | $8.1 | -$78.4 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 60 | $0.362 | $6.12 | -$15.63 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 99.75 | $0.267 | $5.99 | -$20.61 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 100 | $0.490 | $0.6 | -$48.4 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
