Latest trade
Aug 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:52 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 34 settled positions.
Stupendous-Hornet has made $5.4 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Aug 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:52 PM UTC.
$119.46 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 34 markets; 76.0% were buys. They run from Aug 1, 2024 UTC to Aug 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 116.71 | $0.830 | $112.22 | +$15.35 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7PM ETUp | buy | 216.6 | $0.500 | $108.3 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-23 00:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 17:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 17:52 UTC
polymarket positions
35 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-23 00:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.28K and losing ones cost $31.65 across 34 settled positions. 32.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $196.58 on “Solana Up or Down - January 1, 5AM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $6.8 on “Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Aug 2026. It has traded 36 markets. Its open positions are worth $112.22 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 241.07 |
| $0.482 |
| $116.22 |
| Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7PM ETUp | buy | 241.08 | $0.510 | $122.85 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 230.32 | $0.500 | $115.16 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 242.68 | $0.500 | $121.34 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 240.02 | $0.500 | $120.01 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 280.72 | $0.500 | $140.36 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 273.1 | $0.500 | $136.55 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 237.81 | $0.500 | $118.9 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 267.55 | $0.500 | $133.77 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5AM ETDown | buy | 229.14 | $0.500 | $114.57 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 3AM ETDown | buy | 213.9 | $0.510 | $109.09 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - January 13, 4PM ETDown | buy | 157.51 | $0.510 | $80.33 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - January 1, 5AM ETUp | buy | 401.18 | $0.510 | $204.6 | Jan 1, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 2AM ETUp | buy | 156.1 | $0.510 | $79.61 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 2AM ETDown | buy | 397.67 | $0.509 | $202.43 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 116.71 | $0.830 | $96.87 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3PM ETDown | buy | 186.27 | $0.510 | $95 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 99.55 | $0.510 | $50.77 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 99.96 | $0.507 | $50.73 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ETDown | buy | 1.03K | $0.523 | $538.38 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 11.52 | $0.998 | $11.5 | Sep 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 11.52 | $0.999 | $11.51 | Sep 7, 2025 UTC |
 Michael Blake gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.001 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Susan Crawford win by 4-6%?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.002 | $2.2 | May 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14?Yes | buy | 618.03 | $0.005 | $3 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 11.84 | $0.997 | $11.8 | Jan 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 11.84 | $0.998 | $11.82 | Jan 11, 2025 UTC |
 Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | buy | 5.35K | $0.001 | $5.35 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.998 | $10.01 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.69K | $0.001 | $4.69 | Oct 14, 2024 UTC |
 Biden wins the Popular Vote?Yes | buy | 5.2K | $0.001 | $5.2 | Sep 9, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.8K | $0.001 | $6.8 | Sep 9, 2024 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | sell | 257.89 | $0.978 | $252.22 | Sep 9, 2024 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | buy | 257.89 | $0.981 | $252.93 | Sep 9, 2024 UTC |
 USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | Aug 2, 2024 UTC |
 Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7?Yes | sell | 235.88 | $0.979 | $230.93 | Aug 2, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7?Yes | buy | 235.88 | $0.980 | $231.16 | Aug 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?No | sell | 199.59 | $0.995 | $198.59 | Aug 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?No | buy | 199.6 | $0.997 | $199 | Aug 2, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7?Yes | sell | 236.54 | $0.979 | $231.57 | Aug 2, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7?Yes | buy | 236.54 | $0.980 | $231.81 | Aug 2, 2024 UTC |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 216.41 | $0.970 | $209.92 | Aug 2, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 216.41 | $0.975 | $211 | Aug 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 235.72 | $0.988 | $232.89 | Aug 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 235.72 | $0.990 | $233.36 | Aug 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 236.18 | $0.988 | $233.35 | Aug 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 236.19 | $0.989 | $233.64 | Aug 1, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7?Yes | sell | 212.46 | $0.979 | $208.01 | Aug 1, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.