Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.6%. Yes opened at 28% on 20 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2024 to 6 Aug 2024, the highest close was 99% on 3 Aug 2024 and the lowest 28% on 20 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 81% on 23 Jul 2024. $257.05K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 6:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 20 Jul 2024 – 6 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2024 | 28.0% |
| 6 Aug 2024 | 98.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 77.16K |
| kas | No | 500 |
| israel200 | No | 3.08 |
| weeeas | No | 0.53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate is formally nominated by the Democratic National Committee as the Democratic presidential candidate between July 19, and August 7, 2024 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official announcements from the Democratic National Committee however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used .
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-democrats-nominate-presidential-candidate
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 4ikido | No | 0.53 |
| wife | No | 0.5 |
| hedge | No | 0.5 |
| donewiththat | No | 0.5 |
| orangeimporter | No | 0.48 |
| xihong | No | 0.08 |
