Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 116.71 | $0.830 | $110.29 | +$13.42 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7PM ETUp | buy | 216.6 | $0.500 | $108.3 | 20d ago |
|
| sell |
| 241.07 |
| $0.482 |
| $116.22 |
| 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7PM ETUp | buy | 241.08 | $0.510 | $122.85 | 20d ago |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 230.32 | $0.500 | $115.16 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 242.68 | $0.500 | $121.34 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 273.1 | $0.500 | $136.55 | May 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 237.81 | $0.500 | $118.9 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 267.55 | $0.500 | $133.77 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5AM ETDown | buy | 229.14 | $0.500 | $114.57 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 3AM ETDown | buy | 213.9 | $0.510 | $109.09 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - January 13, 4PM ETDown | buy | 157.51 | $0.510 | $80.33 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 1, 5AM ETUp | buy | 401.18 | $0.510 | $204.6 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 2AM ETUp | buy | 156.1 | $0.510 | $79.61 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 2AM ETDown | buy | 397.67 | $0.509 | $202.43 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 116.71 | $0.830 | $96.87 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3PM ETDown | buy | 186.27 | $0.510 | $95 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 99.55 | $0.510 | $50.77 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 99.96 | $0.507 | $50.73 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ETDown | buy | 1.03K | $0.523 | $538.38 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 11.52 | $0.998 | $11.5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 11.52 | $0.999 | $11.51 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Michael Blake gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.001 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Susan Crawford win by 4-6%?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.002 | $2.2 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14?Yes | buy | 618.03 | $0.005 | $3 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 11.84 | $0.997 | $11.8 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 11.84 | $0.998 | $11.82 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | buy | 5.35K | $0.001 | $5.35 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.998 | $10.01 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.69K | $0.001 | $4.69 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Biden wins the Popular Vote?Yes | buy | 5.2K | $0.001 | $5.2 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.8K | $0.001 | $6.8 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | sell | 257.89 | $0.978 | $252.22 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | buy | 257.89 | $0.981 | $252.93 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7?Yes | sell | 235.88 | $0.979 | $230.93 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7?Yes | buy | 235.88 | $0.980 | $231.16 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?No | sell | 199.59 | $0.995 | $198.59 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?No | buy | 199.6 | $0.997 | $199 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7?Yes | sell | 236.54 | $0.979 | $231.57 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7?Yes | buy | 236.54 | $0.980 | $231.81 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 216.41 | $0.970 | $209.92 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 216.41 | $0.975 | $211 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 235.72 | $0.988 | $232.89 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 235.72 | $0.990 | $233.36 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 236.18 | $0.988 | $233.35 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 236.19 | $0.989 | $233.64 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7?Yes | sell | 212.46 | $0.979 | $208.01 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7?Yes | buy | 212.47 | $0.984 | $209.04 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 236.81 | $0.991 | $234.68 | Aug 1, 2024 |