Latest trade
Oct 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:16 AM UTC.
Analytics
Fitting-Hardware is down $6.42 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:16 AM UTC.
$24.3 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 34 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Aug 5, 2026 UTC to Oct 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October? | No | 7.44 | $0.995 | $7.4 | +$0 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?No | buy | 7.44 | $0.995 | $7.4 | 15d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-07 16:33 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 02:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 02:16 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-07 16:33 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $29.44 and losing ones cost $26.8 across the latest 50 settled positions. 86% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.38 on “Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $6.8 on “Circle IPO in 2025?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 Oct 2026. It has traded 166 markets. Its open positions are worth $7.56 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 105 |
| $0.002 |
| $0.16 |
| -$0.05 |
| sell |
| 25.02 |
| $0.999 |
| $24.99 |
| 16d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 55.5 | $0.860 | $47.73 | 17d ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | 18d ago |
 Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 16.31 | $0.999 | $16.29 | 19d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 55.5 | $0.850 | $47.18 | 19d ago |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 55.84 | $0.995 | $55.56 | 20d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 55.84 | $0.994 | $55.5 | 21d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 13.07 | $0.999 | $13.06 | 23d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 42.54 | $0.999 | $42.5 | 24d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 42.85 | $0.999 | $42.81 | 24d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 13.08 | $0.971 | $12.7 | 24d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?No | sell | 6.82 | $0.999 | $6.81 | 25d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 0.87 | $0.999 | $0.87 | 25d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.999 | $1.21 | 25d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 42.86 | $0.966 | $41.4 | 26d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.996 | $5.6 | 28d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.996 | $6.8 | 28d ago |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 8.81 | $0.999 | $8.8 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Yes | buy | 62.42 | $0.998 | $62.3 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.999 | $7.5 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 69.6 | $0.998 | $69.46 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 69.4 | $0.997 | $69.19 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 68.4 | $0.999 | $68.33 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 68.4 | $0.984 | $67.31 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 67 | $0.979 | $65.59 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.999 | $33.3 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 22.65 | $0.998 | $22.6 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.002 | $0.21 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 55.8 | $0.967 | $53.96 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.8 | $0.965 | $53.85 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.996 | $1.7 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
 Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 57.1 | $0.993 | $56.7 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.041 | $12.27 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.001 | $0.3 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 23.84 | $0.990 | $23.6 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.998 | $2.2 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.997 | $1.7 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 50.51 | $0.990 | $50 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.997 | $49.9 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.995 | $2.4 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 52.3 | $0.991 | $51.8 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 51.76 | $0.997 | $51.6 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in August?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.994 | $2.2 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 53.81 | $0.998 | $53.7 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 53.74 | $0.990 | $53.2 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.