Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 17 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2026 to 31 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 4 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 51.5% on 4 Aug 2026. $78.72K traded over the market's life.
84 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 9:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 31 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 13.5% |
| 31 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.48K |
| acal | Yes | 3.5K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 1.31K |
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-august-20260715203029875
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1.14K |
| PrimePenguin | Yes | 1.12K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.1K |
| Front-Legislator-Birth | Yes | 999.99 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 854.12 |
| labistiiia | Yes | 233.93 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 188.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
