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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.94 | $0.957 | $0.92 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 24 | $0.640 | $15.36 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 69 |
| $0.640 |
| $44.16 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 101 | $0.660 | $66.66 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 75 | $0.980 | $73.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 35 | $0.680 | $23.8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.039 | $1.17 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.270 | $41.04 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.107 | $10.27 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.02 | $0.107 | $7.49 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.570 | $41.61 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.570 | $58.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 93.4 | $0.510 | $47.63 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 142 | $0.510 | $72.42 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 143 | $0.055 | $7.87 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 174 | $0.055 | $9.57 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 154 | $0.045 | $6.93 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.045 | $6.93 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.190 | $16.53 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.233 | $23.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 27 | $0.967 | $26.11 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.064 | $4.35 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 26 | $0.936 | $24.34 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 65 | $0.935 | $60.78 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.770 | $49.28 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.790 | $5.53 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.890 | $8.01 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 46 | $0.909 | $41.81 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 56 | $0.974 | $54.54 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 75 | $0.880 | $66 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.012 | $0.01 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.967 | $6.77 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.996 | $72.71 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.747 | $54.53 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.210 | $11.76 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.210 | $16.38 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 95 | $0.500 | $47.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 95 | $0.500 | $47.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 7 | $0.957 | $6.7 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 45 | $0.957 | $43.07 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.032 | $1.09 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 138 | $0.029 | $4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.013 | $1.16 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.013 | $1.17 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.014 | $1.09 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.942 | $1.39 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.979 | $1.2 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 French Open?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.990 | $1.83 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.986 | $1.3 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.988 | $1.5 | Apr 17, 2025 |