Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 4:25 AM UTC.
Crimson Falcon 6CE7 has made $4.43 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 4:25 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Sep 26, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | No | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?Down | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 1h ago |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 22:29 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 04:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 04:25 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 22:29 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $26.35 and losing ones cost $34.74 across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.97 on “Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $1.04 on “Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 112 markets. Its open positions are worth $6.3 across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Down |
| 3.7 |
| $0.270 |
| $1.02 |
| +$0.02 |
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | $0 |
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 19 2026? | No | 2.38 | $0.420 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026? | Yes | 2.04 | $0.490 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | Yes | 1.25 | $0.800 | $0.76 | -$0.24 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.450 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | Yes | 2.04 | $0.490 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
| buy |
| 2.78 |
| $0.360 |
| $1 |
| 23h ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | 1d ago |
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 1d ago |
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 2d ago |
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 2d ago |
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 2d ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 3d ago |
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 3d ago |
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of October 12 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 4d ago |
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?Up | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 4d ago |
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?Down | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 4d ago |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?Down | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 5d ago |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?Up | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | 5d ago |
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?Up | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 5d ago |
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 6d ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 6d ago |
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 14?Down | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 6d ago |
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $540 Week of October 12 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 6d ago |
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 7d ago |
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 10d ago |
Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 10d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 11d ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 12d ago |
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 12d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 13d ago |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 14d ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 14d ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 15d ago |
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5?Down | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 18d ago |
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?Down | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 19d ago |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 19d ago |
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?Up | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 19d ago |
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 20d ago |
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 20d ago |
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 20d ago |
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 20d ago |
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 20d ago |
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 21d ago |
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 21d ago |
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 21d ago |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 28 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 22d ago |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.765 | $1 | 22d ago |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 28 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 22d ago |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | 23d ago |
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 23d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 24d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.