Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 429.41 | $0.142 | $57.97 | -$3.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | 7h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.14K |
| $0.017 |
| $41.71 |
| +$21.71 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 826.13 | $0.047 | $40.48 | +$1.92 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 104.94 | $0.372 | $29.38 | -$9.62 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 154.64 | $0.241 | $22.35 | -$14.95 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 280.02 | $0.064 | $19.6 | +$1.72 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.210 | $14.05 | +$4.05 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 244.78 | $0.151 | $13.71 | -$23.29 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 28.18 | $0.514 | $13.67 | -$0.83 |
 Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee? | Yes | 17.24 | $0.580 | $12.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | No | 14.63 | $0.590 | $12.07 | +$3.44 |
| Will Xaykham Khamsyvoravong be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.450 | $11 | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 156.25 | $0.064 | $10.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10.4 | +$0.4 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 23.24 | $0.430 | $10.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $10.1 | +$0.1 |
| Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.750 | $9.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $9.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.310 | $9.19 | -$0.81 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 74.3 | $0.150 | $8.54 | -$2.6 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | Yes | 10.64 | $0.470 | $8.19 | +$3.19 |
 Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 25.63 | $0.312 | $7.56 | -$0.44 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.360 | $7.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 97.11 | $0.051 | $7.09 | +$2.09 |
| buy |
| 22.22 |
| $0.450 |
| $10 |
| 7h ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes | buy | 17.5 | $0.400 | $7 | 8h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.490 | $7 | 6d ago |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 53.85 | $0.130 | $7 | 6d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.550 | $18.33 | 6d ago |
| Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 287.37 | $0.029 | $8.32 | 8d ago |
 Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 13.42 | $0.373 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | 13d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.380 | $10.55 | 13d ago |
| Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?No | buy | 14.63 | $0.590 | $8.63 | 14d ago |
| Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | 14d ago |
 Will James Taylor be the Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will James Taylor be the Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Will Bob Sullivan be the Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 15.06 | $0.664 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 395.39 | $0.233 | $92.13 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 107.14 | $0.080 | $8.57 | 17d ago |
 Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.230 | $4 | 27d ago |
 Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.240 | $4 | 27d ago |
 Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.280 | $4 | 27d ago |
 Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.999 | $12.49 | 28d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 8.18 | $0.550 | $4.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 19.35 | $0.155 | $3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 130.43 | $0.043 | $5.61 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.061 | $6.1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.034 | $4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.830 | $10.82 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.251 | $2.15 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?Yes | buy | 36.76 | $0.136 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.025 | $3 | Aug 6, 2026 |