Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.8%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 252 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 12 Aug 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 72.5% on 4 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 21 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 44% on 10 Jun 2026. $29.69K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 252 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 12 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 42.5% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | 13.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.78K |
| Fond-Wedge | Yes | 350 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 301 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mn-02
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 281.1 |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Yes | 224 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 147.34 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 81.72 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 81 |
| Raketa09 | Yes | 76.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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