Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 88%. Yes opened at 56% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 26 Aug 2026, the highest close was 88% on 26 Aug 2026 and the lowest 56% on 21 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 72% on 23 Aug 2026. $5.18K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 26 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 56.0% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 88.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spectrum | No | 400 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 190.35 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 56.25 |
| hping210 | No | 54.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary runoff will take place on August 25, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oklahoma-commissioner-of-insurance-republican-primary-winner
| menthe2 | No | 50 |
| lissartter | No | 40 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 33 |
| Clumsy-Patriarch | No | 20 |
| bot-wordpicker | No | 20 |
| scale2 | No | 20 |
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