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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.005 |
| $5 |
| May 20, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.043 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 20.5 | $0.250 | $5.13 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 408.03 | $0.015 | $6 | Apr 3, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 152.3 | $0.033 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 44.51 | $0.112 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 164.48 | $0.030 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 20.51 | $0.530 | $10.87 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |