Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 10 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 98 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 12 Jun 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.3% on 24 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 26.3% on 24 Apr 2026. $19.27K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 12, 7:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 98 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 12 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 16.5% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.06K |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 2.92K |
| Chandaria | Yes | 1.04K |
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/in-which-month-will-spacex-ipo
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1.01K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 819.97 |
| AnnabelleNoir | Yes | 562.28 |
| niglette | Yes | 296.84 |
| ACara | Yes | 287.76 |
| Curiouswasp | Yes | 157.82 |
| Creative-Pasta | Yes | 153.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
