Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 11.46 |
| $0.960 |
| $11 |
| Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Joe Hunter win Survivor 48?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.229 | $11 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on March 3?Yes | buy | 14.67 | $0.750 | $11 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | buy | 346.15 | $0.130 | $45 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Trump conviction overturned before election?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.987 | $12.34 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?No | sell | 13.25 | $0.994 | $13.17 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.595 | $1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 296.24 | $0.013 | $3.85 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Biden wins the Popular Vote?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30.57 | $0.491 | $15 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Biden interview by Friday?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Kamala says "unburdened" by Friday?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.003 | $4.01 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.063 | $12.6 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 NVIDIA largest company before June 15?Yes | buy | 36.67 | $0.300 | $11 | Jun 9, 2024 |
 Apple x OpenAI partnership announced in WWDC 2024?Yes | buy | 23.6 | $0.890 | $21 | Jun 9, 2024 |
 Elon Musk's $56bn Tesla pay package approved?Yes | buy | 12.09 | $0.910 | $11 | Jun 9, 2024 |
 Darren Waller retires by June 11?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jun 9, 2024 |
| Trump conviction overturned before election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.880 | $11 | Jun 2, 2024 |
| Trump in jail before election day?No | buy | 13.25 | $0.830 | $11 | Jun 2, 2024 |
 Mexican Presidential Election: Will Claudia Sheinbaum win?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jun 2, 2024 |
 Azuro airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | Jun 2, 2024 |
 Celeb charged with pumping memecoin before July?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 2, 2024 |
 Will Fauci wear a mask during June 3 hearing?No | buy | 30.58 | $0.981 | $30 | Jun 2, 2024 |
 Trump’s first TikTok >10M views by Sunday night?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jun 2, 2024 |
 Trump’s first TikTok >25M views by Sunday night?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jun 2, 2024 |
 Trump’s first TikTok >50M views by Sunday night?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jun 2, 2024 |
| Trump’s first TikTok >50M views by Sunday night?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jun 2, 2024 |