Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 14% on 30 May 2024. Before it settled, the high was 58.5% on 30 Jun 2024 and the low 0.2% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 58.5% on 30 Jun 2024. $252.49K traded over the market's life.
130 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 1:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 217 points · 30 May 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 May 2024 | 14.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wally | Yes | 6.02K |
| michelleobamalover | Yes | 4.21K |
| St-Qc | Yes | 1.45K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly mentions the word(s) "mog", "mogs", and/or "mogging" between May 27 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word(s) "mog", "mogs", and/or "mogging". -Any written usage of the word(s) "mog", "mogs", and/or "mogging" published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. The resolution source for this market will be footage of Donald Trump taken within the mentioned timeframe, as well as official communications from Donald Trump.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-mog-in-2024
| willy-wonka | Yes | 1.3K |
| Bogr | Yes | 1.15K |
| exhuman | Yes | 602.37 |
| enricomercuri | Yes | 571.43 |
| phroge | Yes | 494.77 |
| HeavenlyTrader | Yes | 413.89 |
| Square-Badger | Yes | 350 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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