Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92%. Yes opened at 72% on 17 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 139 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2024 to 3 Jun 2024, the highest close was 95.5% on 17 Feb 2024 and the lowest 72% on 17 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 91% on 18 Jan 2024. $747.93K traded over the market's life.
211 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 4, 12:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 17 Jan 2024 – 3 Jun 2024, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2024 | 72.0% |
| 3 Jun 2024 | 92.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 182.76K |
| LaMadera | No | 72.4K |
| dsalazar | No | 59.34K |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mexican-presidential-election-who-will-win
| No |
| 9.53K |
| Mastermambo | No | 9.49K |
| xochitlgalvez.eth | No | 8.91K |
| RFP123 | No | 7.7K |
| elsonorita | No | 6.07K |
| CarlosDT | No | 3.03K |
| GGV | No | 2.28K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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