Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 566.04 | $0.530 | $297.17 | -$2.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 823.41 | $0.364 | $300 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 823.41 |
| $0.364 |
| $230.55 |
| -$69.45 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.15K | $0.140 | $139.46 | -$160.54 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | Yes | 503.42 | $0.397 | $88.1 | -$111.9 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 832.43 | $0.144 | $74.09 | -$45.91 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | Yes | 454.98 | $0.088 | $16.38 | -$23.62 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.76K | $0.007 | $6.17 | -$5.83 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | Yes | 133.67 | $0.150 | $2.74 | -$17.26 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | Yes | 213.27 | $0.188 | $1.71 | -$38.29 |
| buy |
| 133.67 |
| $0.150 |
| $20 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 566.04 | $0.530 | $300 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 731.71 | $0.460 | $336.59 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.140 | $300 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 319.4 | $0.063 | $20 | 1d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp | buy | 15.52 | $0.580 | $9 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETDown | buy | 8.75 | $0.800 | $7 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 153.03 | $0.196 | $30 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 60.24 | $0.166 | $10 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Yes | buy | 454.98 | $0.088 | $40 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | sell | 20.54 | $0.980 | $20.13 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 13.75 | $0.800 | $11 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 224.8 | $0.044 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 237.4 | $0.168 | $40 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 290.67 | $0.138 | $40 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Yes | buy | 503.42 | $0.397 | $200 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 832.43 | $0.144 | $120 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 927.92 | $0.216 | $200 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 166.66 | $0.998 | $166.33 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.180 | $30 | 6d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 138.04 | $0.036 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2?No | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | 7d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 296.3 | $0.101 | $30 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 731.71 | $0.410 | $300 | 7d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp | buy | 57.69 | $0.520 | $30 | 8d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | 8d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 233.96 | $0.363 | $84.98 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.333 | $7 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.190 | $2.85 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 176.09 | $0.427 | $75.12 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 183.63 | $0.430 | $78.96 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 183.64 | $0.440 | $80.8 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 85.64 | $0.470 | $40.25 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 150.33 | $0.481 | $72.26 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 100.11 | $0.744 | $74.45 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 170.99 | $0.498 | $85.09 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 93.04 | $0.937 | $87.21 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 93.04 | $0.670 | $62.34 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.680 | $63.92 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 122.08 | $0.543 | $66.34 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.685 | $68.5 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.61 | $0.503 | $36 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 108.87 | $0.345 | $37.6 | 9d ago |