Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.560 | $0.82 | Mar 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.47 |
| $0.680 |
| $1 |
| Feb 24, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.965 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.930 | $1.04 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.880 | $0.99 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.880 | $1.05 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.880 | $6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.820 | $4 | Jan 11, 2026 |