Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 8.45 |
| $0.710 |
| $6 |
| May 24, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 29.54 | $0.510 | $15.07 | May 24, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.55 | $0.880 | $26 | May 13, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.33 | $0.600 | $17 | May 13, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.650 | $26 | May 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 38.3 | $0.940 | $36 | May 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.57 | $0.961 | $14 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 42.28 | $0.946 | $40 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 21.19 | $0.944 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.33 | $0.750 | $7 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | buy | 17.46 | $0.630 | $11 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.67 | $0.857 | $16 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.49 | $0.755 | $20 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.970 | $4.94 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Evercore (EVR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 14.86 | $0.740 | $11 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.910 | $3.9 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Richardson Electronics (RELL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.89 | $0.940 | $3.66 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.960 | $3.52 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | sell | 184.65 | $0.952 | $175.79 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.872 | $13.08 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 15.49 | $0.710 | $11 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 15.19 | $0.790 | $12 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $80 in April?No | buy | 12.74 | $0.942 | $12 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 12.38 | $0.969 | $12 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?No | buy | 13.6 | $0.956 | $13 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?No | buy | 15.54 | $0.965 | $15 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 16.31 | $0.981 | $16 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 17.07 | $0.820 | $14 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 14-21?No | buy | 13.24 | $0.982 | $13 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Pelicans vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies | buy | 16.47 | $0.850 | $14 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes | buy | 22.75 | $0.967 | $22 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-07?No | buy | 26.65 | $0.840 | $22.39 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?Yes | buy | 22.39 | $0.820 | $18.36 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?Yes | buy | 107.56 | $0.194 | $20.91 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No | buy | 18.37 | $0.980 | $18 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 22-29?No | buy | 38.91 | $0.944 | $36.73 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 75.89 | $0.976 | $74.07 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 28.41 | $0.910 | $25.85 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 45.66 | $0.920 | $42.01 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Raptors vs. LakersLakers | buy | 42.01 | $0.840 | $35.29 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Nets vs. CavaliersCavaliers | buy | 35.28 | $0.880 | $31.05 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 36.73 | $0.975 | $35.81 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Solana above $170 on November 8?Yes | buy | 31.06 | $0.966 | $30 | Nov 7, 2024 |