Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 23 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 23 Nov 2024 to 26 Nov 2024, the highest close was 6.2% on 24 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.8 points down, to 0.4% on 25 Nov 2024. $88.44K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 26, 11:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 23 Nov 2024 – 26 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2024 | 4.3% |
| 26 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 31.56K |
| Solar Scout 626F | Yes | 52.57 |
| Self-Assured-Benefit | No | 0.05 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between November 22 and November 29.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29
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