Latest trade
Sep 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 7:39 PM UTC.
Analytics
Third-Sturgeon has made $2.57 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 13 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-30 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 7:39 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 31 trades covered 19 markets; 67.7% were buys. They run from Dec 11, 2025 UTC to Sep 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.004 | $5 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-30 18:23 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 19:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
31 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 19:39 UTC
polymarket positions
15 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-30 18:23 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $84.41 and losing ones cost $15.45 across 13 settled positions. 61.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $25.05 on “GPT ads by March 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $9.37 on “Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Sep 2026. It has traded 19 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1.32K |
| $0.004 |
| $5 |
| Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 70.56 | $0.099 | $6.99 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.008 | $5 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 70.56 | $0.071 | $5 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 265.87 | $0.038 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | sell | 22.05 | $0.849 | $18.72 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | buy | 22.06 | $0.680 | $15 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.41 | $0.808 | $25.37 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 67.68 | $0.540 | $36.55 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 67.69 | $0.540 | $36.55 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 T20 World Cup: India vs New ZealandNew Zealand | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No | sell | 26.02 | $0.640 | $16.65 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No | buy | 26.03 | $0.768 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?No | sell | 23.39 | $0.771 | $18.04 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 17.85 | $0.570 | $10.17 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?No | buy | 23.4 | $0.427 | $10 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 GPT ads by March 31?Yes | sell | 38.42 | $0.912 | $35.04 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 43.28 | $0.161 | $6.97 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 247.01 | $0.039 | $9.67 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 43.28 | $0.201 | $8.7 | Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 247.02 | $0.040 | $10 | Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?Yes | sell | 58.45 | $0.320 | $18.7 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| GPT ads by March 31?Yes | buy | 38.42 | $0.260 | $9.99 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?Yes | buy | 58.45 | $0.171 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 90.19 | $0.104 | $9.37 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.