Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.461 | $30.42 | Jun 22, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 66 |
| $0.540 |
| $35.64 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.963 | $39.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.962 | $39.44 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.830 | $35.69 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.840 | $36.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 54 | $0.661 | $35.69 | May 26, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 78 | $0.510 | $39.78 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 53 | $0.659 | $34.93 | May 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.390 | $16.38 | May 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.460 | $19.32 | May 25, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.040 | $2.36 | May 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.038 | $2.58 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 34 | $0.960 | $32.64 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 42 | $0.960 | $40.32 | May 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.530 | $20.14 | May 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.067 | $2.01 | May 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.083 | $13.78 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.985 | $39.4 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 39 | $0.977 | $38.1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.943 | $8.49 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.941 | $14.11 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 9 | $0.982 | $8.84 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.026 | $2.21 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 6 | $0.938 | $5.63 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.026 | $1.14 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?No | sell | 18 | $0.951 | $17.12 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.984 | $14.76 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 10 | $0.972 | $9.72 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.978 | $5.87 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 10 | $0.972 | $9.72 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 11 | $0.934 | $10.27 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.083 | $4.48 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.975 | $7.8 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.083 | $5.15 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.965 | $7.72 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 8 | $0.973 | $7.78 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 8 | $0.955 | $7.64 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 8 | $0.955 | $7.64 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 8 | $0.941 | $7.53 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.037 | $2.15 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Yes | buy | 108 | $0.036 | $3.89 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 161 | $0.021 | $3.38 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.014 | $0.98 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Barry Andrews win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 53 | $0.994 | $52.68 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.014 | $0.5 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 54 | $0.994 | $53.68 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 6 | $0.984 | $5.9 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 6 | $0.985 | $5.91 | Aug 2, 2025 |