Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 12.76 | $0.870 | $12.27 | +$1.17 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 8?Yes | buy | 13.17 | $0.600 | $7.9 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 12.05 |
| $0.830 |
| $11.27 |
| +$1.27 |
| buy |
| 10.7 |
| $0.260 |
| $2.78 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.974 | $20.29 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.52 | $0.790 | $15.42 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 16.39 | $0.940 | $15.41 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 12.76 | $0.870 | $11.1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 10.25 | $0.890 | $9.12 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 34.01 | $0.940 | $31.97 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 34.01 | $0.930 | $31.63 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.820 | $20.5 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 31.18 | $0.986 | $30.74 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.780 | $8 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.39 | $0.967 | $17.78 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 31.19 | $0.962 | $30 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.271 | $4.07 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 38.46 | $0.280 | $10.77 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 40.65 | $0.985 | $40.04 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 40.65 | $0.984 | $40 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?No | buy | 93.6 | $0.725 | $67.84 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?No | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.530 | $12.61 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No | sell | 141.55 | $0.892 | $126.23 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No | buy | 141.55 | $0.747 | $105.7 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?No | sell | 107.63 | $0.982 | $105.69 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?No | buy | 107.64 | $0.954 | $102.65 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.901 | $18.02 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 23?Yes | buy | 19.47K | $0.001 | $19.47 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 23?Yes | sell | 10.02 | $0.999 | $10.01 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 23?Yes | sell | 8.07 | $0.999 | $8.06 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 23?Yes | buy | 8.07 | $0.991 | $8 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 23?Yes | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 4.64 | $0.968 | $4.49 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 17.44 | $0.830 | $14.48 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 4.64 | $0.969 | $4.5 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 17.44 | $0.860 | $15 | Oct 16, 2025 |