Latest trade
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 9:40 AM UTC.
Analytics
Crimson Orbit B7F0 is down $551.56 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 9:40 AM UTC.
$23.94 median trade
Its latest 369 trades covered 143 markets; 59.9% were buys. They run from Nov 16, 2025 UTC to Oct 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.900 | $24.75 | -$2.25 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?No | buy | 117 | $0.060 | $7.02 | 21h ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 06:39 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-17 09:40 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
369 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-17 09:40 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 06:14 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $269.15 and losing ones cost $171.46 across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $56.17 on “US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $48.45 on “Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)” (No).
It first traded on 16 Nov 2025 and most recently on 16 Oct 2026. It has traded 146 markets. Its open positions are worth $49.48 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 18 |
| $0.787 |
| $16.99 |
| +$2.83 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 10 | $0.684 | $7.45 | +$0.61 |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | No | 349 | $0.041 | $0.17 | -$14.08 |
 Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24? | No | 0.13 | $0.637 | $0.11 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 18 |
| $0.060 |
| $1.08 |
| 21h ago |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?No | buy | 54 | $0.027 | $1.46 | 1d ago |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?No | buy | 79 | $0.025 | $1.98 | 1d ago |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?No | buy | 122 | $0.032 | $3.9 | 1d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 151.55 | $0.949 | $143.82 | 4d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | 10d ago |
 SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?No | sell | 38 | $0.800 | $30.4 | 10d ago |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | 10d ago |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.918 | $45.89 | 10d ago |
 Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No | buy | 60.47 | $0.860 | $52 | 10d ago |
 Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.85 | $0.955 | $18.96 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.688 | $32.35 | 16d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.759 | $35.68 | 16d ago |
 Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.780 | $22.62 | 16d ago |
| SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.810 | $30.78 | 17d ago |
 Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?No | buy | 51 | $0.149 | $7.59 | 17d ago |
 Trump renames AI by September 30?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.550 | $31.9 | 17d ago |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.550 | $23.65 | 17d ago |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?No | sell | 135 | $0.450 | $60.75 | 17d ago |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.550 | $24.75 | 17d ago |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?No | buy | 75 | $0.460 | $34.5 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 18d ago |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.683 | $15.03 | 18d ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.692 | $13.84 | 18d ago |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.910 | $31.85 | 18d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September?No | buy | 17 | $0.400 | $6.8 | 18d ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.562 | $21.92 | 18d ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.388 | $12.04 | 19d ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.360 | $14.4 | 19d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.8 | $0.840 | $9.91 | 21d ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?No | sell | 57 | $0.200 | $11.4 | 21d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | 21d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | 21d ago |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24?No | buy | 8 | $0.700 | $5.6 | 22d ago |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24?No | buy | 13 | $0.620 | $8.06 | 22d ago |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24?No | buy | 16 | $0.620 | $9.92 | 22d ago |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.900 | $49.5 | 22d ago |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.690 | $15.87 | 23d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.790 | $18.96 | 23d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.804 | $38.58 | 23d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.680 | $26.52 | 23d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.998 | $36.93 | 24d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Yes | sell | 37.53 | $0.998 | $37.45 | 24d ago |
 Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?No | buy | 19 | $0.880 | $16.72 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.37 | $0.350 | $6.78 | 24d ago |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.791 | $22.94 | 25d ago |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No | buy | 12 | $0.830 | $9.96 | 25d ago |
| Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)No | buy | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | 25d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.