Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1 |
| $0.470 |
| $0.47 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.470 | $0.47 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 198 | $0.458 | $90.65 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.164 | $32.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 200.07 | $0.834 | $166.96 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.841 | $147.17 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 25.07 | $0.844 | $21.16 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.420 | $0.42 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.420 | $1.26 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Yes | sell | 346 | $0.422 | $145.98 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.99 | $0.580 | $1.73 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 148 | $0.420 | $62.16 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.460 | $0.1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.89 | $0.160 | $0.14 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 227 | $0.550 | $124.85 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.530 | $52.99 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 1 | $0.480 | $0.48 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 3 | $0.480 | $1.44 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.160 | $0.16 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 363 | $0.482 | $175.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 53 | $0.160 | $8.48 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.190 | $58.9 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 383 | $0.760 | $291.08 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 383 | $0.223 | $85.35 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 383 | $0.750 | $287.25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.71 | $0.730 | $0.52 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 56.06 | $0.340 | $19.06 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 292 | $0.321 | $93.86 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 39 | $0.320 | $12.48 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | sell | 215.5 | $0.820 | $176.71 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes | sell | 207.73 | $0.170 | $35.31 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes | sell | 48.54 | $0.200 | $9.71 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.170 | $11.73 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | buy | 270.5 | $0.820 | $221.81 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.810 | $48.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 43.79 | $0.840 | $36.78 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 400 | $0.810 | $324 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 399.83 | $0.180 | $71.97 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 217 | $0.197 | $42.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 399.79 | $0.220 | $87.95 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.250 | $55.5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 177.79 | $0.240 | $42.67 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 0.32 | $0.240 | $0.08 | Jun 28, 2026 |