Analytics
Shmichael is down $25.35 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 18 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 16:59 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 05:27 UTC
polymarket positions
19 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 16:59 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $106.7 and losing ones cost $18.14 across 18 settled positions. 61.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $51.64 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET” (Down); the largest loss, $4.44 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET” (Up).
It has traded 24 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.43 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 142.86 |
| $0.007 |
| $0.93 |
| -$0.07 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.001 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | No | 50 | $0.020 | $0.23 | -$0.78 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
