Latest trade
May 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 19, 10:16 AM UTC.
Analytics
Opium4 is down $11.13K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 19, 10:16 AM UTC.
$297.3 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 155 markets; 86.5% were buys. They run from Sep 19, 2025 UTC to May 7, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 217.5 | $0.180 | $3.26 | -$35.89 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 226.1 | $0.960 | $217.06 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 05:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-19 10:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-19 10:16 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-30 08:55 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $6.25K and losing ones cost $25.81K across the latest 50 settled positions. 86% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $892.16 on “US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?” (No); the largest loss, $14.11K on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?” (No).
It first traded on 5 May 2025 and most recently on 7 May 2026, 164 days ago. It has traded 234 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.26 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 99.14 |
| $0.920 |
| $91.21 |
| Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 291.38 | $0.920 | $268 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 895 | $0.972 | $869.94 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 796 | $0.820 | $652.72 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 184.52 | $0.961 | $177.32 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 3.01K | $0.999 | $3.01K | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 392.05 | $0.940 | $368.53 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 190.1 | $0.959 | $182.31 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.860 | $9.46 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 81 | $0.992 | $80.35 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 99.04 | $0.959 | $94.98 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 399 | $0.840 | $335.16 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.983 | $1.87K | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 256.19 | $0.958 | $245.52 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 337 | $0.956 | $322.13 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 286.57 | $0.961 | $275.39 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 370.74 | $0.980 | $363.33 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.302 | $1.51 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 1.37K | $0.711 | $972.77 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?No | sell | 182 | $0.502 | $91.38 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 4.78K | $0.017 | $82.63 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 9.91K | $0.021 | $208.19 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 1.71K | $0.042 | $72 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 195.72 | $0.043 | $8.42 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 14.56K | $0.976 | $14.2K | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?No | buy | 61 | $0.986 | $60.14 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.869 | $979.36 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 2.61K | $0.920 | $2.4K | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 6.29K | $0.967 | $6.09K | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 6.29K | $0.940 | $5.92K | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 5.92K | $0.999 | $5.92K | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 284.48 | $0.954 | $271.39 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.920 | $1.36K | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 454.69 | $0.868 | $394.65 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.870 | $912.95 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 271.84 | $0.865 | $235.2 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 910.66 | $0.864 | $786.8 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 4.09K | $0.896 | $3.66K | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 264.65 | $0.984 | $260.42 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Horacio Poppe win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.990 | $1.11K | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Enrique Leaño win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?No | buy | 632.01 | $0.990 | $625.69 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Enrique Leaño win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?No | buy | 245.79 | $0.989 | $243.09 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sergio Oliver Rodríguez win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?No | buy | 189.14 | $0.850 | $160.74 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Juan Roberth Flores win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?No | buy | 147.61 | $0.996 | $146.96 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 5.49K | $0.810 | $4.44K | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 143.99 | $0.840 | $120.95 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 3.55K | $0.948 | $3.36K | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.