Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.94 | $0.956 | $0.92 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.810 | $37.26 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 39 |
| $0.966 |
| $37.67 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.780 | $38.22 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.762 | $9.14 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.760 | $4.56 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.300 | $1.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.220 | $8.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.220 | $8.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.108 | $4.43 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.108 | $4.43 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.280 | $1.12 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 39 | $0.952 | $37.13 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 27 | $0.980 | $26.46 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 21 | $0.980 | $20.58 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.939 | $40.38 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.941 | $36.7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.942 | $29.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 46 | $0.790 | $36.34 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.230 | $16.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.240 | $16.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.144 | $5.9 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.760 | $43.32 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.760 | $43.32 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.866 | $43.3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.869 | $43.45 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 3 | $0.982 | $2.95 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.983 | $40.3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.600 | $11.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.600 | $11.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.900 | $40.5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.880 | $39.6 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.540 | $3.24 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.310 | $19.22 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.310 | $19.22 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 24 | $0.954 | $22.9 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 27 | $0.954 | $25.76 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.985 | $31.52 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.046 | $0.37 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.045 | $2.03 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 59 | $0.690 | $40.71 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 45 | $0.680 | $30.6 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.046 | $0.64 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.043 | $5.81 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.963 | $43.34 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 45 | $0.958 | $43.11 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.956 | $43.02 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 41 | $0.958 | $39.28 | May 29, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.959 | $13.43 | May 28, 2026 |