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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22.61 | $0.540 | $10.06 | -$2.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.61 | $0.540 | $12.21 | 11d ago |
| Yes |
| 254.55 |
| $0.200 |
| $9.8 |
| -$41.11 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 12.12 | $0.510 | $6.24 | +$0.06 |
| buy |
| 1.87 |
| $0.563 |
| $1.05 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 21.15 | $0.520 | $11 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?90k | buy | 5.99 | $0.390 | $2.34 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?90k | buy | 667.81 | $0.400 | $267.12 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?90k | buy | 167.04 | $0.387 | $64.69 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 12.12 | $0.510 | $6.18 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 254.55 | $0.200 | $50.91 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.430 | $25 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?Down | buy | 44.19 | $0.520 | $22.98 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Up | buy | 26.89 | $0.518 | $13.93 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?Up | buy | 23.53 | $0.510 | $12 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 23.86 | $0.440 | $10.5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 21.24 | $0.986 | $20.94 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 21.24 | $0.580 | $12.32 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 15.48 | $0.420 | $6.5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.995 | $0.3 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.370 | $1.02 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 417.33 | $0.998 | $416.5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 417.34 | $0.999 | $416.92 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No | buy | 4.63 | $0.800 | $3.7 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.059 | $2.42 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 683.8 | $0.993 | $679.01 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 684.1 | $0.994 | $680 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 681.5 | $0.996 | $678.77 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 682.05 | $0.997 | $680 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.920 | $1.61 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 800 | $0.962 | $769.6 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 853 | $0.963 | $821.44 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 861 | $0.964 | $830 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.875 | $1.09K | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.034 | $2 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.877 | $1.1K | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.493 | $0.5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.496 | $0.51 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | sell | 113.66 | $0.666 | $75.7 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 113.71 | $0.695 | $79 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?Yes | sell | 10.31 | $0.961 | $9.91 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 81.71 | $0.972 | $79.45 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 81.75 | $0.979 | $80 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 81.3 | $0.982 | $79.84 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 81.31 | $0.984 | $80 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Yes | sell | 83.5 | $0.968 | $80.83 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 83.51 | $0.970 | $81 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 106.71 | $0.756 | $80.67 | Oct 2, 2024 |