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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 11 | $0.470 | $9.41 | +$4.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.510 | $6 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.600 |
| $6.55 |
| +$0.55 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.97 | +$0.93 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 8.1 | $0.740 | $5.75 | -$0.24 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.510 | $5.24 | -$0.76 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 11.2 | $0.560 | $4.98 | -$1.29 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 11.41 | $0.540 | $4.96 | -$1.2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.6 | -$0.12 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.04 | $0.710 | $3.56 | -$1.44 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 8 | $0.410 | $2.76 | -$0.52 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.340 | $1.53 | -$0.36 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.440 | $1.52 | +$0.2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.200 | $1.39 | -$0.11 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.210 | $0.49 | -$1.09 |
| buy |
| 8.11 |
| $0.730 |
| $5.92 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No | buy | 9 | $0.460 | $4.14 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.210 | $1.28 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.08 | $0.682 | $4.83 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.290 | $2.03 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.383 | $3.51 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.56 | $0.774 | $5.85 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.290 | $2.32 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.440 | $1.32 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No | buy | 7.59 | $0.790 | $6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.987 | $1.98 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 11.2 | $0.560 | $6.27 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.790 | $5.93 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 10.5 | $0.220 | $2.31 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | May 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.41 | $0.540 | $6.16 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.340 | $1.89 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?Yes | buy | 7.88 | $0.250 | $1.97 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.390 | $3.51 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.200 | $1.5 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.470 | $5.17 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.780 | $5.53 | May 11, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.290 | $2.32 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.286 | $2.32 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.230 | $1.36 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in April?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.320 | $2.16 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 23?Up | buy | 5.91 | $0.190 | $1.12 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No | buy | 9.83 | $0.610 | $6 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 20?Up | buy | 8.1 | $0.310 | $2.51 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.210 | $1.58 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.260 | $1.73 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.31 | $0.500 | $4.66 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.220 | $1.39 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 9?Up | buy | 9.42 | $0.510 | $4.8 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.230 | $1.65 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.740 | $5.99 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.250 | $1.97 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 9.83 | $0.370 | $3.64 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.380 | $3.39 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.220 | $1.39 | Mar 19, 2026 |