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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 62.84 | $0.037 | $2.33 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.21 |
| $0.480 |
| $2.5 |
| May 16, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.050 | $2.78 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | sell | 40.2 | $0.015 | $0.62 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | sell | 92.65 | $0.050 | $4.63 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.125 | $2.5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 38.73 | $0.120 | $4.65 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes | sell | 15.63 | $0.390 | $6.1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 21.31 | $0.220 | $4.69 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 35.29 | $0.170 | $6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 12.21 | $0.590 | $7.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.386 | $6.04 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 20.69 | $0.290 | $6 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.290 | $4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 12.21 | $0.320 | $3.91 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 33.34 | $0.150 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 12.12 | $0.330 | $4 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.390 | $4 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.400 | $1.66 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.250 | $7.5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.200 | $3.7 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | sell | 16.67 | $0.013 | $0.22 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.024 | $0.03 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.480 | $4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |