Latest trade
Sep 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 7:39 PM UTC.
Analytics
c4e54 has made $2.43 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 7:39 PM UTC.
$1.76 median trade
Its latest 34 trades covered 33 markets; 97.1% were buys. They run from Nov 5, 2024 UTC to Sep 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | Yes | 28.24 | $0.199 | $2.06 | -$3.56 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.24 | $0.199 | $5.62 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 20:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 19:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
34 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 19:39 UTC
polymarket positions
21 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 20:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
100% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.45 on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Sep 2026. It has traded 33 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.61 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.52 |
| $0.660 |
| $0.55 |
| -$0.45 |
| buy |
| 1.52 |
| $0.660 |
| $1 |
| Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.79 | $0.380 | $2.2 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.510 | $1.53 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.440 | $1.37 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.440 | $2.62 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.370 | $2.63 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.330 | $2.35 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
 Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 4.14 | $0.700 | $2.9 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
 Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates | buy | 2.56 | $0.570 | $1.46 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies | buy | 5.5 | $0.440 | $2.42 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.590 | $1.51 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Sabres vs. CanadiensCanadiens | buy | 3.19 | $0.540 | $1.72 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.81 | $0.420 | $2.02 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.96 | $0.670 | $1.98 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.510 | $1.05 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Rangers vs. LightningLightning | buy | 4 | $0.530 | $2.12 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.480 | $1.96 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.690 | $1.11 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bruins vs. PanthersPanthers | buy | 3.33 | $0.420 | $1.4 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.680 | $1.74 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 2.64 | $0.759 | $2 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No | buy | 3.36 | $0.530 | $1.78 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.650 | $1.25 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Mavericks vs. MagicMagic | buy | 3.88 | $0.770 | $2.99 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Cup PlayoffsRED Canids | buy | 1.59 | $0.640 | $1.02 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 150.05 | $0.007 | $1.05 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.274 | $1.08 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 150.06 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 30.21 | $0.430 | $12.99 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.54 | $0.610 | $10.09 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.