Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?Yes | buy | 42.4 | $0.865 | $36.69 | Sep 1, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 37.82 |
| $0.970 |
| $36.69 |
| Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise between $42m and $43m by midnight?No | buy | 37.83 | $0.940 | $35.56 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise 40m on Sunday August 31?Yes | sell | 35.65 | $0.994 | $35.44 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.710 | $25.56 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | sell | 25.81 | $0.995 | $25.68 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 25.81 | $0.957 | $24.7 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 26 | $0.950 | $24.7 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise 40m on Sunday August 31?Yes | buy | 5.64 | $0.850 | $4.79 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise 40m on Sunday August 31?Yes | buy | 30.01 | $0.840 | $25.21 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 30.07 | $0.998 | $30.01 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 26 | $0.950 | $24.7 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 24.85 | $0.994 | $24.7 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 54.92 | $0.964 | $52.96 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 56.34 | $0.940 | $52.96 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.940 | $1.01 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 55.27 | $0.940 | $51.95 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "OpenAI" 5+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | sell | 53.21 | $0.989 | $52.65 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "OpenAI" 5+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 34.25 | $0.730 | $25 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "OpenAI" 5+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "OpenAI" 5+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Yes | sell | 37.28 | $0.974 | $36.31 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Yes | buy | 37.29 | $0.770 | $28.71 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | sell | 28.86 | $0.995 | $28.72 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 28.87 | $0.935 | $26.99 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | sell | 32.35 | $0.830 | $26.85 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 32.35 | $0.680 | $22 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.943 | $21.69 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.929 | $21.37 | Jul 19, 2025 |