Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.967 | $1.03 | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.32 |
| $0.760 |
| $1.03 |
| +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 1.32 |
| $0.760 |
| $1 |
| 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 5d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Trump signs housing bill by end of July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.862 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.21 | $0.385 | $2.39 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Gwynne Shotwell be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.21 | $0.161 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.803 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8AM ETDown | buy | 1.4 | $0.680 | $0.95 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 102.27 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Antalya 2: Katarzyna Kawa vs Tamara ZidansekKatarzyna Kawa | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Astralis | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.54 | $0.630 | $0.97 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.21 | $0.820 | $0.99 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will New York Times Company (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sofiivka by February 28?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 4?Up | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Korn Ferry (KFY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.879 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Boeing at fault for South Korea plane crash?Yes | buy | 137.5 | $0.007 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-13?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Jan Topić win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 728.97 | $0.003 | $2.29 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.190 | $4.75 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.003 | $6 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Jan Topić win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 728.97 | $0.007 | $5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.004 | $8 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 50.91 | $0.963 | $49.03 | Dec 16, 2024 |