Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 36.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 9 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60.5% on 24 Feb 2026 and the lowest 15% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 60.5% on 24 Feb 2026. $620.87K traded over the market's life.
103 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 9:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 9 Feb 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| twqywywyw4e | No | 37.29K |
| ligmaaaaa | No | 7.46K |
| PokDragon | No | 2.38K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Based's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Based (https://x.com/BasedOneX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| No |
| 1.93K |
| oak | No | 1.44K |
| ldwjh | No | 845.11 |
| yueban07 | Yes | 698.63 |
| amazin1ng | No | 693.65 |
| xiaoma668 | No | 500 |
| as128128 | No | 399.99 |
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