Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026, the highest close was 62.5% on 26 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 2.4% on 11 Jul 2026. $53.68K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 7:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 58.5% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crypto-Well | Yes | 2.75K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 1.84K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump signs H.R. 6644, also referred to as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, into law by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only enactment by a presidential signature shall be relevant for this market. It will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if the relevant bill becomes a law by a method other than a presidential signature. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-signs-housing-bill-by-end-of-july-20260624145217694
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