Latest trade
Jun 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 10:23 PM UTC.
Analytics
Plush-Pastry is down $60.64 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 10:23 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Sep 6, 2024 UTC to Jun 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 30.57 | $0.425 | $17.2 | +$4.2 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-04 18:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 22:23 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 22:23 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-04 18:19 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $66.25 and losing ones cost $91.45 across the latest 50 settled positions. 42% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $21.32 on “Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?” (Yes); the largest loss, $19.08 on “Who will win the VP debate according to polls?” (Walz).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Jun 2026. It has traded 108 markets. Its open positions are worth $26.88 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.800 |
| $4.89 |
| +$0.89 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2.54 | +$0.54 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.05 | $0.955 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 2.04 | $0.490 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No| buy |
| 2.94 |
| $0.680 |
| $2 |
| Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Wisconsin events?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Wisconsin events?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
 Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Ford" during Michigan rally on October 25?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "GM" or "General Motors" during Michigan rally on October 25?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 20 or more times during Michigan rally on October 25?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Michigan rally on October 25?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Oct 25, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "American dream" 3 or more times during Michigan rally on October 25?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Oct 25, 2024 UTC |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Oct 8, 2024 UTC |
| Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Walz | sell | 35.66 | $0.110 | $3.92 | Oct 8, 2024 UTC |
| Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Walz | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Tim Walz say "Abortion" 5 or more times during the debate?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.030 | $0.12 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Couch" during the debate?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.870 | $1.04 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Coach" during the debate?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.260 | $0.35 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Helene" during the debate?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.010 | $0.04 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Trump" 30 or more times during the debate?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.010 | $0.02 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during the debate?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Couch" during the debate?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Kamala Harris" 15 or more times during the debate?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Trump" 30 or more times during the debate?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Trump" 20 or more times during the debate?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Tampon" during the debate?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "abortion" during the debate?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Helene" during the debate?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Coach" during the debate?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Abortion" 5 or more times during the debate?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Walz | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Sep 12, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "moderator" during his Nevada rally?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | Sep 12, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Sep 12, 2024 UTC |
 2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.520 | $3.12 | Sep 12, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "tampon" at debate?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.150 | $0.83 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" at debate?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.410 | $0.54 | Sep 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "border czar" at debate?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Sep 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Sep 6, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.