Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76.5%. Yes opened at 77% on 4 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 80.5% on 6 Sep 2024 and the low 71.5% on 5 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 80.5% on 6 Sep 2024. $242.29K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 4:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 4 Sep 2024 – 11 Sep 2024, chart shows 65%–85%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2024 | 77.0% |
| 11 Sep 2024 | 76.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| g... | No | 4.17K |
| avareechi | No | 3.94K |
| TrumpAdvisor | No | 979.18 |
| DJD22 | No | 800 |
| Edmond17 | No | 582.74 |
| FunkyMaster | No | 238.32 |
| CaughtByRandomness | No | 174.75 |
| DbLZ | No | 107.36 |
| Imperturbable-Local | No | 100 |
| StankDik | Yes | 96.15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are currently scheduled to debate on September 10 in an event hosted by ABC News. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border czar" at any point during the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the debate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-at-the-debate
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