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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 4.37 | $0.962 | $4.33 | +$0.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | sell | 3.29 | $0.930 | $3.06 | 28d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.74 |
| $0.984 |
| $2.74 |
| +$0.04 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | -$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 2.46 | $0.895 | $1 | -$1.2 |
| sell |
| 1.16 |
| $0.995 |
| $1.15 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.994 | $6.96 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.990 | $1.7K | May 15, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?Yes | buy | 361.24 | $0.946 | $341.79 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?Yes | buy | 8.99 | $0.940 | $8.45 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?Yes | buy | 436.4 | $0.993 | $433.35 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?Yes | buy | 2.33K | $0.995 | $2.32K | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.994 | $60.63 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?Yes | sell | 861 | $0.994 | $855.83 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?Yes | buy | 4.18K | $0.985 | $4.11K | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 2.76 | $0.977 | $2.7 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.975 | $5.28 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.985 | $6 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?No | sell | 3.37 | $0.918 | $3.09 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 2.59 | $0.995 | $2.58 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No | sell | 0.65 | $0.989 | $0.64 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.05 | $0.880 | $6.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.984 | $2.1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 6?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.988 | $2.36 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $110 in April?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.970 | $3.15 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.866 | $5.7 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.677 | $1.55 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 2.6 | $0.988 | $2.57 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 30?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.976 | $2.6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in March?No | sell | 3.66 | $0.996 | $3.65 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 4.37 | $0.962 | $4.2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 5.28 | $0.938 | $4.95 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.952 | $3.96 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | buy | 3.83 | $0.967 | $3.7 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.925 | $4.64 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes | sell | 1.82 | $0.990 | $1.8 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?No | buy | 3.38 | $0.888 | $3 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.980 | $4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.999 | $5.2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 4.32 | $0.740 | $3.2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.997 | $1.13K | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.997 | $1.13K | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in March?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.920 | $3.37 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.997 | $1.13K | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.984 | $2.7 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.999 | $1.13K | Mar 9, 2026 |