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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.030 | $0.12 | Jun 22, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 82 |
| $0.120 |
| $9.84 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 33 | $0.780 | $25.74 | Jun 20, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 33 | $0.780 | $25.74 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.058 | $0.52 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.100 | $1.3 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.720 | $29.52 | Jun 19, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.520 | $9.88 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.963 | $35.63 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | May 27, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | May 26, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 69 | $0.570 | $39.33 | May 26, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 69 | $0.570 | $39.33 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.984 | $35.42 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 41 | $0.948 | $38.87 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 41 | $0.949 | $38.91 | May 25, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 57 | $0.690 | $39.33 | May 25, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 57 | $0.690 | $39.33 | May 25, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.480 | $30.72 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.969 | $35.85 | May 24, 2026 |
Skye Valadez confirmed perp?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.002 | $0 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 32 | $0.953 | $30.5 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | sell | 31 | $0.986 | $30.57 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 32 | $0.944 | $30.21 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.006 | $0.73 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 32 | $0.948 | $30.34 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.006 | $0.18 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 34 | $0.917 | $31.18 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 31 | $0.984 | $30.5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 32 | $0.962 | $30.78 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 32 | $0.972 | $31.1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 32 | $0.972 | $31.1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | sell | 31 | $0.983 | $30.47 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 31 | $0.994 | $30.81 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 31 | $0.977 | $30.29 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Skye Valadez confirmed perp?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.013 | $0.43 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.991 | $29.73 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Skye Valadez confirmed perp?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.012 | $0.72 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No | buy | 32 | $0.971 | $31.07 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 31 | $0.991 | $30.72 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 31 | $0.992 | $30.75 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 32 | $0.964 | $30.85 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 32 | $0.964 | $30.85 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No | sell | 31 | $0.988 | $30.63 | Sep 13, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 31 | $0.981 | $30.41 | Sep 8, 2025 |