Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 48.71 | $0.739 | $46.52 | +$10.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 48.98 |
| $0.633 |
| $45.8 |
| +$14.8 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.23 | $0.403 | $32.02 | +$17.02 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 30.48 | $0.525 | $27.73 | +$11.73 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 21.35 | $0.890 | $20.7 | +$1.7 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 10.89 | $0.918 | $10.4 | +$0.4 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | $3,000 | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | $0 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.220 | $0.28 | -$1.72 |
| buy |
| 9.09 |
| $0.220 |
| $2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.569 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.100 | $0.38 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.930 | $0.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.911 | $0.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.930 | $0.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.966 | $4.98 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.657 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.859 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.901 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.760 | $0.97 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.900 | $0.99 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown | buy | 1.13 | $0.870 | $0.98 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETDown | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.12 | $0.880 | $0.98 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp | buy | 5.13 | $0.970 | $4.98 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.08 | $0.910 | $0.99 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $0.99 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown | buy | 1.21 | $0.800 | $0.97 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETDown | buy | 2.3 | $0.850 | $1.96 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETDown | buy | 1.07 | $0.920 | $0.99 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.08 | $0.910 | $0.99 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 2.28 | $0.860 | $1.96 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.33 | $0.720 | $0.96 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETDown | buy | 2.3 | $0.850 | $1.96 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SpaceX | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.42 | $0.373 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |