Latest trade
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 9:04 AM UTC.
Analytics
Crimson Maven 402A is down $16.68 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 31 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 9:04 AM UTC.
$1.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 8 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Sep 11, 2026 UTC to Oct 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 4.74 | $0.950 | $4.48 | -$0.02 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | 5d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 00:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 09:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 09:04 UTC
polymarket positions
33 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 00:15 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $47.54 and losing ones cost $0.96 across 31 settled positions. 80.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.89 on “Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?” (No); the largest loss, $0.45 on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Oct 2026. It has traded 63 markets. Its open positions are worth $7.62 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.82 |
| $0.824 |
| $1.58 |
| +$0.08 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.59 | $0.945 | $1.55 | +$0.05 |
| buy |
| 1.58 |
| $0.950 |
| $1.5 |
| 5d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | 6d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 5.36 | $0.830 | $4.45 | 6d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.5 | 11d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.5 | 11d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.5 | 11d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 4.78 | $0.950 | $4.54 | 12d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | 21d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | 22d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | 22d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.220 | $2.87 | 23d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.230 | $1.5 | 27d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.230 | $1.5 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?No | sell | 3.2 | $0.950 | $3.04 | 28d ago |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.5 | 29d ago |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | 29d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.996 | $1.5 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.997 | $1.84 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.5 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.5 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.810 | $1.5 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 7.12 | $0.840 | $5.98 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.5 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.5 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.5 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.880 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.880 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3.37 | $0.870 | $2.93 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.890 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.890 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.880 | $4.44 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.890 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.890 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.900 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.890 | $1.48 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.900 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.880 | $4.51 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.880 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.880 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.880 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3.41 | $0.870 | $2.97 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.880 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.880 | $1.5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.17 | $0.960 | $4.96 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.850 | $1.5 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.89 | $0.790 | $1.49 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.790 | $1.5 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.870 | $1.5 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.